Toward a Fully Continuous Exchange Summary
Abstract
Purpose of Review
The Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network has chosen continuous distribution as its preferred framework for the next evolution of organ allocation policies. This review explains the approach, contrasting it with the current policy structure. It also provides an update on the continuous distribution of lungs proposal and shares ideas about how continuous distribution might improve kidney, liver, and heart allocation.
Recent Findings
Continuous distribution replaces an ordered list of discrete "classifications," or groups of patients, with a composite score that simultaneously accounts for all relevant factors and allows more nuance in balancing equity, utility, and efficiency. So-called edge cases are eliminated, for example, an extremely ill candidate not receiving a transplant due to being just barely on the other side of a geographic (or other) boundary. Simulation results predict a 30–50% reduction in waiting list deaths among lung candidates without increasing the proportion of organs requiring air travel.
Summary
Continuous distribution has the potential to markedly improve both transparency into the value judgments embedded in policy and patient outcomes, while still promoting the efficient management of organ placement. The framework enables "smarter," not necessarily broader, distribution of organs. Continuous distribution is also highly flexible, such that future modifications (e.g., to rebalance utility vs. efficiency) should be easier to implement.
References
Papers of particular interest, published recently, have been highlighted as: • Of importance •• Of major importance
-
Bromberg JS, Halloran PF. Nine things you might not say or hear in transplantation. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2009;9(1):11–3.
-
Frey, Bruno S, Savage DA, Torgler B. "Surviving the Titanic disaster: economic, natural and social determinants," CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2551, 2009.
-
OPTN View Data Reports self-service tool, https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/data/view-data-reports/build-advanced/, accessed 7/17/2021.
-
Stewart D, Zehner A, Klassen D, Rosendale J. The drug overdose epidemic does not explain all of the rise in deceased donation. Clin Transplant. 2020;34(5):e13858.
-
The Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network Final Rule of 2000, 42 U.S.C. §§ 121 https://www.ecfr.gov/cgi-bin/text-idx?SID=bb60e0a7222f4086a88c31211cac77d1&mc=true&node=pt42.1.121&rgn=div5 accessed 10/11/2017.
-
"Charles John Joughin," Encyclopedia Titanica, https://www.encyclopedia-titanica.org/titanic-survivor/charles-john-joughin.html, accessed 7/17/2021.
-
Amnesty International, "Reflection: Empty seats in lifeboats," April 15, 2016, https://www.amnesty.ca/blog/reflection-empty-seats-lifeboats, accessed 7/17/2021.
-
Titanic Facts: The Life & Loss of the RMS Titanic in Numbers, https://titanicfacts.net/titanic-lifeboats/, accessed 7/17/2021.
-
Zenios SA, Wein LM, Chertow GM. Evidence-based organ allocation. Am J Med. 1999;107(1):52–61.
-
OPTN Ethics Committee public comment proposal "ethical considerations of continuous distribution in organ allocation," https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/governance/public-comment/ethical-considerations-of-continuous-distribution-in-organ-allocation/, accessed 8/3/2021.
-
Organ procurement and transplantation network, ethical principles of pediatric organ allocation, updated November 2014, https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/resources/ethics/ethical-principles-of-pediatric-organ-allocation/, accesssed 10/16/2017. .
-
Stewart DE, Kucheryavaya AY, Klassen DK, Turgeon NA, Formica RN, Aeder MI. Changes in deceased donor kidney transplantation one year after KAS implementation. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2016;16(6):1834–47.
-
Stewart DE, Wilk AR, Toll AE, Harper AM, Lehman RR, Robinson AM, Noreen SA, Edwards EB, Klassen DK. Measuring and monitoring equity in access to deceased donor kidney transplantation. Am J Transplant. 2018;18(8):1924–35.
-
Jackson KR, Covarrubias K, Holscher CM, Luo X, Chen J, Massie AB, Desai N, Brennan DC, Segev DL, Garonzik-Wang J. The national landscape of deceased donor kidney transplantation for the highly sensitized: Transplant rates, waitlist mortality, and posttransplant survival under KAS. Am J Transplant. 2019;19(4):1129–38.
-
Washburn K, Harper A, Klintmalm G, Goss J, Halff G. Regional sharing for adult status 1 candidates: reduction in waitlist mortality. Liver Transpl. 2006;12(3):470–4.
-
Austin MT, Poulose BK, Ray WA, Arbogast PG, Feurer ID, Pinson CW. Model for end-stage liver disease: did the new liver allocation policy affect waiting list mortality? Arch Surg. 2007;142(11):1079–85.
-
Nagai S, Chau LC, Schilke RE, Safwan M, Rizzari M, Collins K, et al. Effects of allocating livers for transplantation based on model for end-stage liver disease-sodium scores on patient outcomes. Gastroenterology. 2018;155(5):1451-62 e3.
-
Egan TM, Edwards LB. Effect of the lung allocation score on lung transplantation in the United States. J Heart Lung Transplant. 2016;35(4):433–9.
-
Singh TP, Almond CS, Taylor DO, Graham DA. Decline in heart transplant wait list mortality in the United States following broader regional sharing of donor hearts. Circ Heart Fail. 2012;5(2):249–58.
-
OPTN allocation policies, https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/media/1200/optn_policies.pdf, accessed 7/16/2021.
-
Organ procurement and transplantation network key initiatives: "continuous distribution", https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/governance/key-initiatives/continuous-distribution/, accessed 3/8/2021.
-
Burdick JF. A general approach to broader sharing in organ allocation. Transplantation. 2001;72(5):759–63.
-
•• Snyder JJ, Salkowski N, Wey A, Pyke J, Israni AK, Kasiske BL. Organ distribution without geographic boundaries: a possible framework for organ allocation. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2018;18(11):2635–40. This landmark paper presents the continuous distribution framework as a combination of a medical priority score and a geographic feasibility score. The authors focus on how the framework can be used to develop a policy that complies with the OPTN Final Rule, particularly its requirements surrounding the role of geography in organ allocation policy.
-
OPTN. Concepts for Kidney Allocation. Richmond, VA: United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN); 2011. Feb 16, p. 2011.
-
Clark Michael D, Dennis L, Anil G, Domenico M, Ala S, Nick W, Robert H. Who should be prioritized for renal transplantation?: analysis of key stakeholder preferences using discrete choice experiments. BMC Nephrol. 2012;13(1):152.
-
Howard K, Jan S, Rose JM, Wong G, Craig JC, Irving M, et al. Preferences for policy options for deceased organ donation for transplantation: a discrete choice experiment. Transplantation. 2016;100(5):1136–48.
-
Oedingen C, Bartling T, Krauth C. Public, medical professionals' and patients' preferences for the allocation of donor organs for transplantation: study protocol for discrete choice experiments. BMJ Open. 2018;8(10):e026040.
-
Saaty TL. Decision making with the analytic hierarchy process. Int J Serv Sci. 2008;1(1):83–98.
-
• Lin CS, Harris SL. A unified framework for the prioritization of organ transplant patients: analytic hierarchy process, sensitivity and multifactor robustness study. J Multi-Criteria Decis Anal. 2013;20(3–4):157–72. Lin and Harris illustrate how the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) can be used to elicit value judgements on the importance of urgency, efficiency, benefit, and equity in developing a liver allocation policy.
-
Danner M, Vennedey V, Hiligsmann M, Fauser S, Gross C, Stock S. Comparing analytic hierarchy process and discrete-choice experiment to elicit patient preferences for treatment characteristics in age-related macular degeneration. Value Health. 2017;20(8):1166–73.
-
Ijzerman MJ, van Til JA, Bridges JF. A comparison of analytic hierarchy process and conjoint analysis methods in assessing treatment alternatives for stroke rehabilitation. Patient. 2012;5(1):45–56.
-
Taherkhani N, Sepehri MM, Shafaghi S, Khatibi T. Identification and weighting of kidney allocation criteria: a novel multi-expert fuzzy method. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2019;19(1):182.
-
Dolan JG, Isselhardt BJ Jr, Cappuccio JD. The analytic hierarchy process in medical decision making: a tutorial. Med Decis Making. 1989;9(1):40–50.
-
Khorramshahgol R, Moustakis VS. Delphic hierarchy process (DHP): a methodology for priority setting derived from the Delphi method and analytical hierarchy process. Eur J Oper Res. 1988;37(3):347–54.
-
Liberatore MJ, Nydick RL. The analytic hierarchy process in medical and health care decision making: a literature review. Eur J Oper Res. 2008;189(1):194–207.
-
Bertsimas D, Farias VF, Trichakis N. Fairness, efficiency, and flexibility in organ allocation for kidney transplantation. Oper Res. 2013;61(1):73–87.
-
• Bertsimas D, Papalexopoulos T, Trichakis N, Wang Y, Hirose R, Vagefi PA. Balancing efficiency and fairness in liver transplant access: tradeoff curves for the assessment of organ distribution policies. Transplantation. 2020;104(5):981–7. Operations research experts from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) demonstrate how mathematical optimization and simulation can be used together to develop a composite-score based liver allocation policy that weighs medical urgency against geographic proximity. Tradeoff curves reveal that continuous distribution is predicted to outperform policies based on acuity circles and optimized districts by resulting in fewer waiting list deaths for a given average transport distance.
-
• Stewart DE, Wood DW, Alcorn JB, Lease ED, Hayes M, Hauber B, et al. A revealed preference analysis to develop composite scores approximating lung allocation policy in the U.S. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2021;21(1):8. A novel approach is presented that employs discrete choice statistical modeling of match run data to develop composite scores that approximate the current classification-based lung allocation policy. The model coefficients revealed that proximity from the donor is the most influential factor in current lung policy, followed by Lung Allocation Score (LAS), blood type, and pediatric status. The authors suggest that this approach could be useful for developing a continuous score-based policy that maintains the essence of an existing classification-based policy but removes hard boundaries.
-
Axelrod DA, Gheorghian A, Schnitzler MA, Dzebisashvili N, Salvalaggio PR, Tuttle-Newhall J, et al. The economic implications of broader sharing of liver allografts. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2011;11(4):798–807.
-
Gentry SE, Chow EK, Dzebisashvili N, Schnitzler MA, Lentine KL, Wickliffe CE, et al. The impact of redistricting proposals on health care expenditures for liver transplant candidates and recipients. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2016;16(2):583–93.
-
Yang Z, Gerull WD, Gauthier JM, Meyers BF, Kozower BD, Patterson GA, Nava RG, Hachem RR, Witt CA, Byers DE, Marklin GF. Shipping lungs greater distances increases costs without cutting waitlist mortality. Ann Thorac Surg. 2020;110(5):1691–7.
-
Gentry SE, Massie AB, Cheek SW, Lentine KL, Chow EH, Wickliffe CE, et al. Addressing geographic disparities in liver transplantation through redistricting. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2013;13(8):2052–8.
-
Parkhurst E. "Building a new, more flexible system for organ allocation," https://unos.org/news/innovation/building-more-flexible-system-for-organ-allocation/, accessed 7/16/2021.
-
Alcorn J. OPTN update on the continuous distribution of organs project, https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/media/3932/continuous_distribution_lungs_concept_paper_pc.pdf, accessed 7/16/2021.
-
OPTN key initiative - continuous distribution of lungs, https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/governance/key-initiatives/continuous-distribution/continuous-distribution-lung/, accessed 7/16/2021.
-
•• OPTN Lung Transplantation Committee public comment proposal, "establish continuous distribution of lungs," https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/governance/public-comment/establish-continuous-distribution-of-lungs/, accessed 8/3/2021. In the summer of 2021, the OPTN released its first continuous distribution proposal for public comment. The document, which was preceded by two, less formal "concept papers" also made available for comment, outlines the proposal developed by the OPTN Lung Transplantation Committee for prioritizing lung candidates based on a composite scoring system.
-
OPTN Operations & Safety Committee public comment proposal, "Data collection to evaluate the logistical impact of broader distribution," https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/media/3107/osc_publiccomment_201908.pdf, accessed 7/15/21.
-
Goff R,Wilk A. OPTN thoracic transplantation committee report. "monitoring of the lung allocation change, 2 year report - removal of dsa as a unit of allocation," https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/media/3661/item_25_thoracic_committee_20200212.pdf, accessed 7/15/2021.
-
Egan TM, Murray S, Bustami RT, Shearon TH, McCullough KP, Edwards LB, et al. Development of the new lung allocation system in the United States. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2006;6(5 Pt 2):1212–27.
-
OPTN guide to calculating the lung allocation score (LAS), https://unos.org/wp-content/uploads/unos/lung-allocation-score.pdf, accessed 7/16/2021.
-
Scientific registery of transplant recipients (SRTR), continuous distribution simulations for lung transplant: round 2, https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/media/4646/lu2021_01_cont_distn_report_final.pdf, accessed 7/17/2021.
-
OPTN briefing paper, "eliminate the use of DSAs in thoracic distribution," https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/media/2994/thoracic_boardreport_201906.pdf, accessed August 9, 2021.
-
Robinson A, et al. OPTN transplantation committee report, eliminate use of DSA and region from kidney allocation: 3 month post-implementation monitoring report, https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/media/4690/three-month-kidney-data-report__20210621.pdf, accessed 7/17/2021.
-
Klarman SE, Formica RN. The broader sharing of deceased donor kidneys is an ethical and legal imperative. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2020;31(6):1174–6.
-
Turgeon NA. Kidney Allocation: The Path Forward. Transplantation. 2021;105(11):2337–9.
-
Formica RN Jr. Allocating deceased donor kidneys to sensitized candidates. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2016;11(3):377–8.
-
Lee D, Kanellis J, Mulley WR. Allocation of deceased donor kidneys: a review of international practices. Nephrology (Carlton). 2019;24(6):591–8.
-
National Health Service (NHS), Kidney transplantation: deceased donor organ allocation (Policy POL186/10), https://nhsbtdbe.blob.core.windows.net/umbraco-assets-corp/16915/kidney-allocation-policy-pol186.pdf, accessed 7/17/2021.
-
Eurotransplant manual, kidney (ETKAS and ESP) allocation rules, April 14, 2021, https://www.eurotransplant.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/H4-Kidney-2021.2-April-2021.pdf, accessed 7/17/2021.
-
Watson CJ, Johnson RJ, Mumford L. Overview of the evolution of the UK kidney allocation schemes. Curr Transplant Rep. 2020;7(2):140–4.
-
Cantu-Quintanilla G, Alberu J, Reyes-Acevedo R, Medeiros M, Villa MS, Arreola JM, et al. A comparative study of the traditional method, and a point-score system for allocation of deceased-donor kidneys: a national multicenter study in Mexico. Transplant Proc. 2011;43(9):3327–30.
-
OPTN kidney and pancreas transplantation committees concept paper, "update on continuous distribution of kidneys and pancreata," https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/governance/public-comment/update-on-continuous-distribution-of-kidneys-and-pancreata/, accessed 8/3/2021.
-
Stewart DE, Klassen DK. Early Experience with the new kidney allocation system: a perspective from UNOS. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2017;12(12):2063–5.
-
Kransdorf EP, Pando MJ. Calculated panel reactive antibody with decimals: a refined metric of access to transplantation for highly sensitized candidates. Hum Immunol. 2017;78(3):252–6.
-
Klintmalm GB, Kaplan B. The kidney allocation system claims equity: it is time to review utility and fairness. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2017;17(12):2999–3000.
-
Cheng XS, Khush KK, Wiseman A, Teuteberg J, Tan JC. To kidney or not to kidney: applying lessons learned from the simultaneous liver-kidney transplant policy to simultaneous heart-kidney transplantation. Clin Transplant. 2020;34(6):e13878.
-
Organ procurement and transplantation network (OPTN) policy notice, improving dual kidney allocation, https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/media/2370/kidney_policynotice_20171221.pdf, accessed 12/6/2018.
-
Reese PP, Harhay MN, Abt PL, Levine MH, Halpern SD. New solutions to reduce discard of kidneys donated for transplantation. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2016;27(4):973–80.
-
Cooper M, Formica R, Friedewald J, Hirose R, O'Connor K, Mohan S, et al. Report of national kidney foundation consensus conference to decrease kidney discards. Clin Transplant. 2018:e13419.
-
Formica, R., "Personalized organ allocation - the right organ, for the right recipient, at the right time," https://www.myast.org/sites/default/files/ceot19/Friday_0730_Salon%20EF_Rich%20Formica_FINAL%20v2.pdf, presented at the Cutting Edge of Transplantation (CEOT) meeting, Phoenix, AZ, 2019.
-
Husain SA, King KL, Pastan S, Pazter RE, Cohen DJ, Radhakrishnan J, et al. Association between declined offers of deceased donor kidney allograft and outcomes in kidney transplant candidates. JAMA Netw Open. 2019;2(8):e1910312.
-
Mohan S, Chiles MC, Patzer RE, Pastan SO, Husain SA, Carpenter DJ, et al. Factors leading to the discard of deceased donor kidneys in the United States. Kidney Int. 2018;94(1):187–98.
-
Hart A, Bruin M, Chu S, Matas A, Partin MR, Israni AK. Decision support needs of kidney transplant candidates regarding the deceased donor waiting list: a qualitative study and conceptual framework. Clin Transplant. 2019;33(5):e13530.
-
Wey A, Salkowski N, Kremers WK, Schaffhausen CR, Kasiske BL, Israni AK, et al. A kidney offer acceptance decision tool to inform the decision to accept an offer or wait for a better kidney. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2018;18(4):897–906.
-
Schwantes IR, Axelrod DA. Technology-Enabled Care and Artificial Intelligence in Kidney Transplantation. Curr Transplant Rep. 2021:1–6.
-
Kasiske BL, Pyke J, Snyder JJ. Continuous distribution as an organ allocation framework. Curr Opin Organ Transplant. 2020;25(2):115–21.
-
OPTN system notice: liver and intestinal organ distribution based on acuity circles implemented Feb. 4, https://unos.org/news/system-implementation-notice-liver-and-intestinal-organ-distribution-based-on-acuity-circles-implemented-feb-4/, accessed. 7/17/2021.
-
OPTN board of directors meeting transcript of proceedings, open session excerpt, "eliminate the use of dsas and regions in liver distribution," December 3, 2018, https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/media/2767/board_liver_discussion_transcript_201812.pdf, accessed 7/17/2021.
-
Schaubel DE, Guidinger MK, Biggins SW, Kalbfleisch JD, Pomfret EA, Sharma P, et al. Survival benefit-based deceased-donor liver allocation. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2009;9(4 Pt 2):970–81.
-
Cillo U, Vitale A, Polacco M, Fasolo E. Liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma through the lens of transplant benefit. Hepatology. 2017;65(5):1741–8.
-
Luo X, Leanza J, Massie AB, Garonzik-Wang JM, Haugen CE, Gentry SE, Ottmann SE, Segev DL. MELD as a metric for survival benefit of liver transplantation. Am J Transplant. 2018;18(5):1231–7.
-
Merion RM. When is a patient too well and when is a patient too sick for a liver transplant? Liver Transpl. 2004;10(S10):S69-73.
-
Goldberg D, Mantero A, Newcomb C, Delgado C, Forde K, Kaplan D, et al. Development and validation of a model to predict long-term survival after liver transplantation. Liver Transpl. 2021;27(6):797–807.
-
Krakauer H, Lin MJ, Bailey RC. Projected survival benefit as criterion for listing and organ allocation in heart transplantation. J Heart Lung Transplant. 2005;24(6):680–9.
-
Frigerio M. Optimal and equitable allocation of donor hearts: which principles are we translating into practices? Transplant Direct. 2017;3(8):e197.
-
Locke JE, Shelton BA, Olthoff KM, Pomfret EA, Forde KA, Sawinski D, et al. Quantifying sex-based disparities in liver allocation. JAMA Surg. 2020;155(7):e201129.
-
Allen AM, Heimbach JK, Larson JJ, Mara KC, Kim WR, Kamath PS, et al. Reduced access to liver transplantation in women: role of height, meld exception scores, and renal function underestimation. Transplantation. 2018;102(10):1710–6.
-
Kransdorf E, Kittleson M, Patel J, Aintablian T, Velleca A, Stimpson E, Geft D, Chang DH, Czer L, Trento A, Kobashigawa JA. Predicted heart mass is the optimal metric for size matching in heart transplantation. J Heart Lung Transplant. 2017;36(4):S113–4.
-
Reed RM, Netzer G, Hunsicker L, Mitchell BD, Rajagopal K, Scharf S, et al. Cardiac size and sex-matching in heart transplantation: size matters in matters of sex and the heart. JACC Heart Fail. 2014;2(1):73–83.
-
Gracon AD, Foley DP. Strategies to improve liver allocation, distribution, and utilization in a broader sharing climate. Curr Transpl Rep. 2021;8:1–8. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40472-021-00316-3.
-
Adler JT, Husain SA, King KL, Mohan S. Greater complexity and monitoring of the new Kidney Allocation System: Implications and unintended consequences of concentric circle kidney allocation on network complexity. Am J Transplant Off J Am Soc Transplant Am Soc Transplant Surg. 2021;21(6):2007–13.
-
Yi SY, Thomas B, Cooper M. Updating deceased donor kidney allocation—what are the challenges? Curr Transpl Rep. 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40472-021-00335-0.
Acknowledgements
This work was funded by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA), Healthcare Systems Bureau, Division of Transplantation under contract number HHSH250201900001C, and was conducted under the auspices of the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), the contractor for the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN). The interpretation and reporting of these data are the responsibility of the author(s) and in no way should be seen as an official policy of or interpretation by the OPTN or the US Government. Several improvements to this manuscript were suggested by David Klassen, MD, and James Alcorn, JD, and are greatly appreciated.
MELD model for end stage liver disease; KDPI kidney donor profile index; LAS lung allocation score; CPRA calculated panel reactive antibodies
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
This article is part of the Topical Collection on OPTN Policy
About this article
Cite this article
Stewart, D. Moving Toward Continuous Organ Distribution. Curr Transpl Rep 8, 301–313 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40472-021-00352-z
-
Accepted:
-
Published:
-
Issue Date:
-
DOI : https://doi.org/10.1007/s40472-021-00352-z
Source: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40472-021-00352-z
0 Response to "Toward a Fully Continuous Exchange Summary"
Post a Comment